this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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Showerthoughts
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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The most popular seem to be lighthearted, clever little truths, hidden in daily life.
Here are some examples to inspire your own showerthoughts: 1
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40 years apart? call me skeptical
The civilisation of ancient Egypt lasted 3000 years and now we think of them as a homogeneous group who all built pyramids and wrote in hieroglyphs.
I think it depends on when you look back from.
I think of WWI, the Inter-War period, and WWII as three separate periods of time and they cover about 40 years.
I think of The Louisiana Purchase (1803), the start of the Monroe Doctrine (1823), and the Mexican-American War (1846-1848) as all happening about the same time, despite covering about 45 years (before double checking just now, I could've sworn the Mexican-American War was in the 1830's, and that Monroe was president in ~1816, which only drives the point home more).
I doubt we'll feel the difference by 2100, but between 2200 and 2300 is when I expect that blending to happen.
The industrial revolution lasted almost 100 years, but we generally clump all of those advancements in one big group.
In 2100, those 40 years won't mean a thing.
I'll have to wait and see
I'm young enough that I will probably still be around as we approach 2100.
2100 noone will be around to ask the question more like it.
Why
Presumably Lord Nikon thinks there won't be any humans left at that time.
This is correct and I hope I am wrong
There will be humans around, but there will probably be far fewer of them. We are excellent survivors.
that seems like a bit different than 'the same innovation' implied by op
it would be like conflating the invention of the ICE with space travel as 'the same innovation'. id argue that would never happen, and neither would 'the internet' and 'LLMs'