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You are thinking in terms of pre-nuclear weapons geopolitics. Nuclear weapons completely changes everything. The 80 year old US nuclear umbrella is the only reason we do not yet have dozens of countries with nuclear weapons. Now because of Trump’s New World Disorder, we can expect a mad scramble of dozens of countries getting nukes.
It has ALREADY started. Poland says it is going to get its own nukes now. It’s a very wise move for Poland but the beginning of a terrible disaster for planet Earth.
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-tusk-plan-train-poland-men-military-service-russia/
The world could very easily have 23 new countries becoming "baseline strong" very cheaply in a matter of years simply by building nukes. There are 32 countries that have nuclear power stations now. That is the core technology. And the rest of the world can easily acquire the technology from those 32.
Does any sane person think that humanity will become MORE SAFE having 32+ nuclear weapons countries instead of 9? Country A would only need 20 nuclear weapons to wipe out Country B's 20 biggest cities in one day. Even if Country B is the top military power in the world and Country A is a small relatively poor country. And all the suicide bombers and terrorist attacks in the last quarter century prove that Mutual Assured Destruction has major limitations. There is no way that Americans will benefit from this. Trump's New World Disorder WILL gravely weaken our national security and world security.