I really hope so
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Putin will never stop being a war criminal until the day he dies. If he takes over all of Ukraine, he will move to Moldova then Georgia then Latvia then Estonia and so on.
The moment this war ends, the Russian Federation will collapse. People forget but Russia has collapsed twice in the last century by doing the same things it's doing now.
It collapsed the first time when the out of touch tyrannical Tsarist government dragged the country into a needless war (WWI) while the country was going through a crises. The country collapsed and formed the Soviet Union.
It collapsed a second time when the out of touch tyrannical communist government dragged the country into a needless war (Soviet invasion of Afghanistan) while the country was going through a crises. The country collapsed and formed the Russian Federation.
Now the same thing is happening. The country has an out touch tyrannical dictator that dragged the country into a needless war during a time of crises. Once the war is over the country will revolt and collapse once again.
Yeah, it seems authoritarianism is bad. Hopefully Russians will figure that out the next go around.
As American example shows us in real time, it's not something you just "figure out" once. Democracy requires society to always win in eternal struggle against human nature.
Ronald Reagan was a terrible politician, but he absolutely nailed this quote:
Perhaps you and I have lived too long with this miracle to properly be appreciative. Freedom is a fragile thing and it’s never more than one generation away from extinction. It is not ours by way of inheritance; it must be fought for and defended constantly by each generation, for it comes only once to a people. And those in world history who have known freedom and then lost it have never known it again.
He was a great politician. He was a terrible human being.
No self-awareness in how he helped setup being one generation away from the extinction of freedom.
"and then it got worse"
Russia has treaties with Britain since like 1904 that obligated it to engage in WWI. Thats how the murder of a Serbian devolved into a world war
Outcome of leading to the downfall of the regime regardless, it was a little different than Afghanistan or Ukraine
Not to be thát person, but Archduke Franz Ferdinand was not a Serb, he was Austrian. Even though Austria-Hungary did annex Bosnia and Herzegovina in the late 19th century, Franz Ferdinand was not born there - in fact he was born before the annexation.
Unless you mean his killer, but then your wording is a little off and I would say "murder BY a Serbian." Even so, the ethnicity of the murderer wasn't really as important as his target. ;)
Thats how the murder of a Serbian devolved into a world war
Archduke Franz Ferdinand was Austrian.
They also were figthing and got defeated by Japan right before that - did contribute to the downfall a little
If Operation Spiders' Web is more than just an isolated attack on Russia's air bases and is continuing to strike deep into Russian soil, then this has serious potential to finally bring Putin to the negotiating table.
Other than that, I think this will be a bloody war of attrition that Zelenskyy has no chance of winning.
The EU is bankrolling Ukraine, Russia has no friends and no money. Ukraine will easily outlast Russia. They just need to stay put and keep defending their positions while taking out Russia's capacity to attack.
China is still bankrolling RU and the EU is still purchasing RU energy, so there are still funds to be had
Taco/fElon are Russia's friends/assets. They and their gop/maga supporters need to be kicked out of the usa government. Hopefully then, usa will return to Ukraine's side.
The good news is that literally nobody can count on those guys.
Hilariously true. Anyone who puts actual faith in those guys or relies on them for anything is insane. (Or just desperate as fuck, which Russia may be becoming.)
I can’t help but think back to when Musk was threatening to cut off poor, remote areas in South America from Starlink over petty shit. Yall want THAT guy to be your friend? Yikes.
Wonder what Trump will do to stop this
He'll try to stop/derail it if he can't claim ownership of the results.
The whole mineral rights stuff is going to be interesting to see play out. Because Zelenskyy, and Ukrainians in general, should very much beware Yankees bearing “gifts” at this point, because we are not the same country we were 6 months ago.
It's not like he needs to uphold the deal beyond ending the war. The US certainly doesn't honour its agreements anymore.
The US certainly doesn't honour its agreements anymore.
Native Americans: "Anymore?..."
He’ll try to stop/derail it ~~if he can’t claim ownership of the results.~~
Trump never gave a shit about peace to begin with; he just wanted to fellate Putin.
Remember that Trump ultimately betrays everyone. The fact that he hasn't done it to Putin yet is unusual, but it doesn't mean it won't happen.
Redirect 20,000 anti-drone missiles away from Ukraine, apparently
Zelenskyy: US has sent 20,000 missiles bound for Ukraine to Middle East instead
Nothing makes a US President feel better after a bad day like bombing the middle east
Zelensky is a bit like a CEO presenting his company's prospects. He was talking like this two years ago, too.
I personally think he's not wrong. Just - until Kremlin gang's members and their families are being caught and jailed\deported all over the globe, or at least in NATO countries, this is all bullshit. Well, maybe after failing in Ukraine they'll attack some smaller and weaker country, just to show themselves they can defeat someone. And maybe they'll try again.
In any case - yes, that leadership keeps Russia weak, inefficient, dependent, but as everyone can see, it's also capable of destruction on scale too big to allow. So maybe some optimism should be applied and the goal be for Russia's regime to change and for it to have a democracy that may make its potential useful for everyone around. The "keeping it weak" approach, after all, has already led to Putin.
Most of all the Russians simply can't stomach a reality where they're not a feared global superpower, to such a degree that they'd rather shoot themselves in the foot and be a shithole rather than just a regular better functioning nation
Americans are going to have to make the same choice in the next few years. I hope they don't make the same mistake.
The “keeping it weak” approach, after all, has already led to Putin.
No one kept Russia weak when Soviet Union collapsed. Yeltsin brought a lot of democractic traits into Russia and it was heavily leaning towards west on multiple areas. Should they kept going on that direction they'd be a global superpower on pretty much all fronts by now, surpassing US and even China.
But they had also pretty big internal problems and a ton of people who desired old soviet times and whatever, so we ended up with what we have today. Wikipedia has way more info and links to study it further.
Yeltsin brought a lot of democractic traits into Russia
No. The democratic mechanisms started working a bit earlier than the USSR stopped existing.
People like Sakharov, Galina Starovoitova, have your heard of such names?
The democratic reforms happened before USSR's collapse.
Yeltsin used that to come to power in 1991, and then kicked the ladder in 1993, and in 1999 named Putin as the next president on television. Oh, of course Putin "won" an election after that.
And that process was actively supported by western governments, especially in 1996, with the justification that an honest democracy in Russia will lead to scary-scary communists coming back to power.
Should they kept going on that direction they’d be a global superpower on pretty much all fronts by now, surpassing US and even China.
Yeltsin was a dying alcoholic living uncritically and without shame by the motto "to my friends everything, to everyone else the law". They have kept going on that exact direction. That's the bloody point.
Yeltsin usurped power in 1993. If that didn't happen and the conflict between Yeltsin and the parliament was resolved peacefully and legally (by having snap parliament and presidential elections simultaneously, so - replacing both sides of the conflict, in other words, Yeltsin would have to back the democratic claims with the democratic action of leaving the post ; that was the constitutional court's decision), then maybe. But instead Yeltsin used tanks to resolve the dispute.
Anyway, no, even if 1993 conflict would end differently, I think surpassing Germany is possible.
Soviet Union was an interesting part of the planet, the older generation from there can "know" and teach you all the right things, but not live by them. Talk about bravery and honor, and very correctly, but act dishonorably and be completely blind to that, talk about science and logic and critical mind and very correctly, but go to fortunetellers and believe in energies. Talk about principle, but not follow it. Never use the "thought experiment" tool freely. And so on.
They needed lots of time to fix that - through pain. It's not been 40 years yet, if we take biblical timespans. Maybe in year 2031 Russia will finally be ready.
But they had also pretty big internal problems and a ton of people who desired old soviet times and whatever, so we ended up with what we have today. Wikipedia has way more info and links to study it further.
In 1991 nobody desired "old times" back. People saw how it all was degrading until falling apart. Don't you give me Wikipedia links, lol. Something should have happened for a lot of people to wish a "restoration", don't you think so? Like what I've described. And that "restoration" was provided by the same people, Yeltsin's people, with the figure of Putin and his image of a "former Soviet intelligence operative".
I think that's more up to the Russian people than anyone in the west. Russians like strong men, it's a weakness in their society. Everyone outside Russia wanted it to continue to be a democracy, Russia even had a brief association with NATO while it was. But Yeltsin drank too much (alcoholism being another weakness in Russian society) and that allowed a guy like Putin to make himself a Czar.
Russians like strong men, it’s a weakness in their society.
No, it's not any more a Russian weakness than an American one, even less than a Japanese or a Chinese one.
Especially unwise to judge Russians by American stereotypes of Russians.
Everyone outside Russia wanted it to continue to be a democracy
How's that compatible with supporting Yeltsin in his 1993 coup and in stealing 1996 elections?
Russia even had a brief association with NATO while it was.
No it didn't. Yeltsin wanted that, yes, and Putin wanted that too. Both wanted to be a big, scary country accepted to NATO and with NATO weaponry. Like Turkey, but with nukes. What both didn't want is dropping the bullshit about spheres of influence and being an equal of the USA, apparently got told by NATO that beggars are not choosers. Also wanting an association with NATO has plainly nothing to do with being a democracy or not.
But Yeltsin drank too much (alcoholism being another weakness in Russian society) and that allowed a guy like Putin to make himself a Czar.
I think you skipped the part where I was educating you that Yeltsin made himself Czar in 1993 and just passed it on to Putin.
I don't really care that it breaks your narrative. Putin is a natural continuation of the western-supported and consulted regime in Russia installed in 1993. That Yeltsin presented himself as some liberator and Putin presented himself as ex Soviet intelligence are campaign pictures that mean nothing. All the trusted people around Putin are the same that Yeltsin had even before 1991. Including Putin himself.
Alcoholism is not a bigger weakness in the Russian society than in British ones or in Sweden or in Finland.
NOT a bluff
But he doesn't have the cards!
I know that's sarcasm, but your comment made me think. I strongly disagree with those kinds of remarks. :)
This war isn't like a game of Poker, where everyone is dealt from the same deck. It's more like MTG, where the real game is about who can make better strategic use of their card-buying budget.
Yeah me too. That's why I make fun of Trump with my comment
Poggers.
From the "horse's mouth": https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/exclusive-zelenskyy-ukraines-war-russia-closer-end-appeals/story?id=113936136
Our operation Spider's Web… even though they [the Russians – ed.] are furious, they understand everything – that if there are cases like the one involving 20,000 rockets [that the US had planned to send to Ukraine but redirected to the Middle East – ed.], then we'll rely on our own strength… We don't want the war to continue, but we'll fight for ourselves if that is the only way out.
We're very close. We need strong support from the United States. The US needs unity with Europe and still needs to put pressure on Putin. He doesn't want to end the war, but he can end the war under pressure from partners. In my opinion, that gives us a chance. And this doesn't sound pessimistic at all – I'm talking about reality."
If US support is the only thing that can cause Ukraine to win, then it's pretty certain with our current leadership that it won't happen.
The thing that is so impressive about Ukraine and the coalition it has formed is that they actually don't need the US to directly be an ally to win this war. They should have not had to demonstrate this capacity, but the capacity has been thoroughly demonstrated.
Keep up the good work. Russia must fail.
I don’t think Putin’s pride will allow that. Short of the Ukrainian army seizing Moscow and trapping Putin in his Tzarist bunker-compound, they will force no peace from that KGB fascist.