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Lewis Hamilton unsure he can replicate Fernando Alonsoβs debut Ferrari F1 win
(www.motorsportweek.com)
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Obviously depends a lot on the car, and should they have the best car in Australia, there's still Leclerc to win against, and he's no slouch.
I think if Ferrari is somewhat ahead and it's mostly about HAM vs LEC, then Leclerc has a much better chance of winning the championship. He knows the team and the car way better. On the other hand if 2025 is as close as last year and 3 or 4 constructors are taking points off of each other, it would be more about consistency and not getting some unlucky DNFs, in that case I imagine it could be way closer between the two.