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this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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Amusingly, cook is probably the safest of those positions for the time being. The physicality and necessity of presence makes it harder to automate. Lawyer, doctor, and teacher can be done remotely, and is based largely on knowledge, so they are prime targets. People are already trying it. Drivers you could see being done remotely if we had faster, more ubiquitous, net connections, so it's doable as well. It's basically already happening. But cooking... AI doesn't seem like it would give you the right kind of inputs and outputs to do that any easier/faster/cheaper. It's already possible to make a food vending machine. The limitations of vending machines aren't really that they need an easier interface on their database. AI won't really help there. And to go beyond that and try to make an AI powered restaurant probably wouldn't be profitable. It's barely profitable to run a regular restaurant most of the time. If you try to put in the probable millions to automate a restaurant, it'd probably go the same way as the self-checkout lanes at stores, which is to say poorly.
Actually have all of the jobs I would think the safest are doctors and lawyers. When your life and liberty are on the line you really don't want an emotionless machine you want a human.
Years ago I had to have surgery on my neck to remove a benign tumor, and I absolutely wasn't worried, I was definitely worried it would hurt but I wasn't worried it would go wrong and I'd end up getting a major artery cut, because I trusted the person doing it, because they came and talked to me. I wouldn't absolutely not trust a robot to do surgery, even if logically the robot would probably be better than the human.
Watch Prometheus by Ridley Scott, there is a scene in that movie which is on topic of the subject discussed here
It depends on the type of doctor and lawyer's service. Some will remain with humans. Some will be a welcome free-up of their time to focus on the more unusual (not solvable by regressing to the mean) cases. There are many doctor's appointments that boil down to 'You have the flu. Here's a beg off note for your shitty boss. Go back to bed.' And there are many attorneys' consultations that boil down to 'I have taken down what you want to say, and now I will translate it into legalese.'
As for the trust, that comes from expectations. You trust a human because human surgeons are the norm. You don't have buddies who had a robot remove their appendix. If the AI is competent, eventually that would be as normal to a patient as buying something from a vending machine.
However, I suspect surgery in particular is another of those things where it'll take an absolute mountain of training data and a lot of risk of human health/life to even attempt, so it's a long way off compared to the simple 'GP writes a referral' stuff.