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What's crazy about this whole thing, is how many people I see insenting this can't be WW3, solely because there have been multiple events happening that people said could lead to WW3...
Like, think of it as placing straw on the back of a camel.
Eventually you're going to get to the point where lots of people say another straw will break it. That's just reality, it can't hold an infinite amount of straw.
Now imagine how ridiculous you'd be for walking up when the camel can barely stand, and loudly and proudly telling everyone the camel's back will never break, because people have been saying it would happen for the past hour.
Rather than realizing that some people would guess early to be safe, because guessing late means your break the camels back and are shit out of luck.
trumps going to keep throwing straw till the camels a bloody heap, the man has never shown restraint in his life. It's a matter of when, not if.
So if it doesn't happen after this, it doesn't mean it'll never happen, just that were even closer than before.
Except it’s not like either of the other two wars.
I’d agree with the comparison if, for example, the US attack on Iran immediately brought Russia to war with the US, which triggered Article 5, which got China involved. That sort of domino effect happened the last two times but doesn’t appear to be happening now.
Could it become WWIII? Maybe. But right now it still looks like a regional conflict, and a rather small one at that compared to the first two Iraq wars.
But I’m only 1/3 of the way through the latest Perun video so I reserve the right to change my mind.
This. It starts with a cascading series of small, often unrelated events that coalesce over time. They may not seem connected until viewed in retrospect. There might only be just a couple of belligerent nations pushing the boundary to see how much they can get away with at first, until eventually other nations decide to stop being bystanders and intercede in a now global conflict.
I'm not inclined to doomsay and predict that World War 3 is imminent, but I'm not going to rule out the possibility that people in the future might be talking about the conflicts between Russia and Ukraine or Israel/the US and Iran like they do about Germany annexing the Sudetenland and Japan invading China.
And with the threat of nuclear armageddon feeling closer than ever since the Cold War, I'm worried the takeaway from these events is just going to be that not having nuclear weapons is a mistake (Ukraine voluntarily surrendering theirs, Iran supposedly trying to develop some). The best way to not get invaded is to have nukes.