this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 56 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Scott Manley did a great video explaining how easily we could redirect it if we found out it was going to hit the earth. We have multiple launch vehicles that can launch a mass at sufficient velocity to nudge it the small amount we need.

Fly safe.

[–] Sergio@slrpnk.net 31 points 1 week ago (2 children)

But who's going to pay for it? Not MY tax dollars!

[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 27 points 1 week ago (1 children)

That was his main concern. Like if we find out it’s going to hit central Africa would other nations even bother stopping it when it will be a localized event?

[–] massive_bereavement@fedia.io 9 points 1 week ago (1 children)

But mah copper!?

Edit: nevermind, they'll probably justify doing nothing by saying it will create jobs and opportunities.

[–] MeatPilot@lemmy.world 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Plot twist the asteroid is made of copper.

[–] Sergio@slrpnk.net 5 points 1 week ago

Vibranium, duh. They should pay us for not divering the asteroid.

[–] wildbus8979@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Maybe we can finance it with a brand deal or something, who's Aerosmith's record label?

[–] Landless2029@lemmy.world 21 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Wait...

We don't even need to land, drill into the center, drop a nuke and leave behind an American oil driller to detonate it?

[–] ivanafterall@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago

I'll be AJ! Liv Tyler was the main thing from that movie that stuck in my 13 year old brain.

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[–] rtxn@lemmy.world 13 points 1 week ago

I've seen Don't Look Up. Having the technology to carry out a mission like that is the easy part.

[–] Sergio@slrpnk.net 22 points 1 week ago (4 children)

A billion kilometers? How much is that? A few miles? Half a parsec? A couple pounds sterling? This is really worrisome...

[–] YaDownWitCPP@lemmy.world 25 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Approximately 5X10^12 bananas if that helps?

[–] squirrel@discuss.tchncs.de 14 points 1 week ago

!anythingbutmetric@discuss.tchncs.de

[–] ByteJunk@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

This is grossly inaccurate and you should be ashamed. A billion km is 5 quadrillion bananas, or 5x10^15.

Unless... are my bananas smaller?

[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Unless… are my bananas smaller?

They are nice bananas. really.. special.

[–] Slovene@feddit.nl 2 points 1 week ago

A lot of girls prefer the smaller ones cause they're flavourful, and exotic ...

[–] EmoDuck@sh.itjust.works 13 points 1 week ago

Roughly 7 million large boulders the size of a small boulder

[–] officermike@lemmy.world 4 points 1 week ago (2 children)

541 astronomical units (541 times the distance from Earth to the Sun)

[–] manny_stillwagon@mander.xyz 5 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

What? Not it's not. Where did you get this number?

It's more like 6.7 AU. Source

In other words somewhere between Jupiter and Saturn in terms of distance to the sun.

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[–] Venator@lemmy.nz 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Thats 6.685 astronomical units (around 6.5x the distance from the earth to the sun)

[–] NocturnalMorning@lemmy.world 20 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (2 children)

In the world of astronomy a billion kilometers is like a missile hitting the neighborhood next to yours. So while there's a good amount of hyperbole there, it's still relatively close. You're still shaken up by it hitting your town. And eventually we will win the lottery and have an astronomical event outside our control devestate the earth. It's happened before.

[–] manny_stillwagon@mander.xyz 9 points 1 week ago

Well, a billion kilometers is almost 7 times the mean distance between the earth and the sun. Asteroids pass in that distance all the time. We're currently closer to Ceres (the dwarf planet) than that and its on the other side of the sun from us.

Some might say we're overdue...

[–] jaybone@lemmy.world 13 points 1 week ago (2 children)

The aliens are a nice touch.

[–] whotookkarl@lemmy.world 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

They came to tell us Betelgeuse is going to go super nova any day now

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[–] captainWhatsHisName@lemm.ee 3 points 1 week ago

Also it seems to be a picture of the Earth colliding with the Earth.

[–] CidVicious@sh.itjust.works 13 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Well when they're saying there's 2% odds, that's....probably still higher than you want for the probability of a world ending asteroid strike.

[–] mipadaitu@lemmy.world 21 points 1 week ago (10 children)

It's not a world ending strike. It's 2.3% odds that a city ending strike lands somewhere on earth, most likely in the ocean.

It's a fraction of a fraction of a % that it'll hit somewhere with any humans at all, much less a populated city.

And on top of that, we have until 2032 to decide what to do about it, with enough time to potentially redirect it with technology we've already demonstrated that works. And if that isn't enough, we just need one or two more data points to figure out almost exactly where it will hit, and can evacuate the area.

Just like we do for hurricanes and other natural disasters.

This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.

[–] skulblaka@sh.itjust.works 11 points 1 week ago (2 children)

This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.

So it's going to be horribly fumbled in the stupidest manner possible and will definitely become a worldwide disaster. Got it.

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[–] BowtiesAreCool@lemmy.world 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

The one caveat is, it’s going to be out of visual range soon and we won’t get any more info for a few years

[–] mipadaitu@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago

The caveat to THAT is that we do have historical data, and if we can find one or more images confirmed to be the target, we could narrow it down without additional imaging.

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[–] FeelzGoodMan420@eviltoast.org 13 points 1 week ago

You're clearly falling for the clickbait articles if you read that this is a world ender.

[–] edgemaster72@lemmy.world 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Not high enough odds

[–] JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 week ago

There's a great video by Scott Manly on the subject if you want to learn more. It'd smaller than some nukes we've tested, and would land somewhere around the equator between the Atlantic and China if it does hit. It looks surprisingly feasible to deflect, but it'd be a time crunch to put a mission together in only a couple of months. Plus it might deflect it into hitting a different country.

https://youtu.be/kK5IXX4p2d0

[–] Lasherz12@lemmy.world 7 points 1 week ago

It's pretty much speculation based on a probability that includes the chance to hit a narrow ring of places along earth's surface, but we don't know how dense it is, although we're relatively sure it's solid, and whether other debris will change its path before it remerges in 2028. It has no risk factor to us until 2032, just in case people are wondering why reputatable science journalists aren't completely poopooing the narratives of other outlets. We'll know what it eats for breakfast by 2029.

[–] obelix@lemmy.world 6 points 1 week ago

Yeah. YR4 will get as close as 106,000km if it misses.

[–] TurboHarbinger@feddit.cl 5 points 1 week ago

That's not even Earth

[–] shoulderoforion@fedia.io 5 points 1 week ago

Trump did get re-elected, and he's going to do comparable damage to the whole world, so, there's that

[–] samus12345@lemm.ee 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] edgemaster72@lemmy.world 3 points 1 week ago

Don't threaten me with a good time

[–] Etterra@discuss.online 3 points 1 week ago

I'm team asteroid strike. Hit me baby.

[–] rumba@lemmy.zip 3 points 1 week ago

They're just trying to give us hope

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